— Explainer
How unemployment is calculated.
The rate is a ratio with a specific numerator and a specific denominator. Both move, and only one of them is the thing you think it is.
— BLS household survey logic
Who actually counts as unemployed
— U3 vs U6 vs participation, live
| Rate | Definition | Current value | As-of date |
|---|---|---|---|
| U-3 | Official rate. Jobless, available, actively looked in the past four weeks. | 4.3% | Mar 2026 |
| U-6 | U-3 plus marginally attached workers plus part-time for economic reasons. | 8.0% | Mar 2026 |
| Labor force participation | Labor force as a share of the working-age civilian population. | 61.9% | Mar 2026 |
— Why the unemployment rate can fall for bad reasons
U-3 is the ratio of unemployed people to the labor force. The labor force is unemployed plus employed. If someone loses their job, the numerator goes up and the rate rises. Fine. But if someone gives up looking, retires early, or goes back to school, they stop being unemployed and stop being in the labor force at the same time. The numerator falls. The denominator falls. The ratio gets smaller and the rate looks like it improved.
Nothing good happened. The person has the same absence of a job they had yesterday. The headline just stopped counting them.
This is why you read U-3 alongside participation, not by itself. Falling U-3 with rising participation is the real improvement: people are coming off the sidelines and still finding work. Falling U-3 with falling participation is the accounting trick: the rate improves because the denominator shrank.
U-6 catches the other half of the problem. It picks up the people U-3 threw out, the discouraged workers and the involuntary part-timers. When U-3 and U-6 diverge, the labor market is weaker than the headline is willing to say. When participation drops at the same time, the softness is deeper still. Three numbers, read together. The Fed reads them that way. You should too.
— FAQ
Unemployment methodology, answered.
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