— Tracker
Read the jobs report in under a minute.
One release per month moves markets more than almost anything else. The countdown, the twelve-month history, and the four numbers you need to know. All in one place.
— Cheat sheet
The four numbers that actually matter.
Every jobs report has the same structure. Learn these four lines and you can read the print in under a minute.
— 01
Nonfarm payrolls
- What to watch
- The actual change vs the prior-month trend and recent 3-month average.
- How to read it
- A print above 200k with positive revisions points to a hot labor market; sustained prints below 100k point to cooling demand. Revisions to the two prior months often matter as much as the headline.
— 02
Unemployment rate
- What to watch
- Direction of the trend and the 0.1% moves.
- How to read it
- A tick up above 4.3% triggers the Sahm-rule recession-signal watch; a sub-4% print confirms labor-market tightness and reduces rate-cut odds.
— 03
Labor-force participation
- What to watch
- Whether unemployment changes are from new entrants or exits.
- How to read it
- Rising participation with steady unemployment is healthy. More people working. A falling unemployment rate alongside falling participation is often a warning sign.
— 04
Average hourly earnings
- What to watch
- Year-over-year pace vs the 3–3.5% zone the Fed watches for wage-price spiral.
- How to read it
- YoY above 4% with tight labor markets worries the Fed. Below 3.5% with cooling CPI supports the soft-landing narrative and rate cuts.
— History
The last twelve reports.
“Prior revision” is the net change the BLS applied to the previously-reported prior month when the new data was published. Often as market-moving as the headline itself.
| Release | Covering | Actual (k) | Prior rev (k) | U-3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2026 | March 2026 | 178 | -7 | 4.3% |
| Mar 6, 2026 | February 2026 | -92 | -69 | 4.4% |
| Feb 11, 2026 | January 2026 | 130 | -1,029 | 4.3% |
| Jan 9, 2026 | December 2025 | 50 | -76 | 4.4% |
| Dec 16, 2025 | November 2025 | 64 | 0 | 4.6% |
| Nov 20, 2025 | September 2025 | 119 | -33 | 4.4% |
| Sep 5, 2025 | August 2025 | 22 | -21 | 4.3% |
| Aug 1, 2025 | July 2025 | 73 | -258 | 4.2% |
| Jul 3, 2025 | June 2025 | 147 | +16 | 4.1% |
| Jun 6, 2025 | May 2025 | 139 | -95 | 4.2% |
| May 2, 2025 | April 2025 | 177 | -58 | 4.2% |
| Apr 4, 2025 | March 2025 | 228 | -48 | 4.2% |
— FAQ
Jobs report, decoded.
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